USDA increased corn yield to 174.9 bu. per acre, bringing production to 15.234 billion bu. Meanwhile, soybean yield was pegged at 49.9 bu., up 0.3 bu. from last month.
Higher-than-expected corn and soybean yields in some Corn Belt locations, along with a modest rally in corn prices, contributed to this month’s rise in farmer sentiment.
Beef stocks climbed more than average during September, largely because the previous month’s figure was revised down 15.1 million pounds. Sept. pork stocks dropped, whereas there is normally a small buildup in supplies.
Iowa’s farmland values, which saw consecutive record-breaking increases for two years, are now showing signs of cooling, though they remain near historic highs.
The 90-day forecast from the National Weather Service signals increased chances of above-normal precipitation across the eastern half of Kansas, along with most of Texas and Oklahoma through January.
USDA reported weekly soybean sales of 1.372 MMT during week ended Oct. 12, up 30% from the previous week and 92% from the four-week average. Corn and wheat sales were steady on the week.
Soybean export inspections during week ended Oct. 12 rose over 600,000 MT from the previous week, notably exceeding pre-report estimates. Meanwhile, corn inspections fell short of the expected range.
Weekly wheat sales reached a marketing-year high in week-ended Oct. 5, while soybean sales rose 31% on the week and were up 68% from the four-week average.
USDA's October production and carryover figures were lower than pre-report estimates, though the most notable miss was the 4 MMT difference in new-crop global soybean carryover vs. expectations.
Uncertainties included difficulties estimating the state of financial markets, potential oil price shocks and the impact of labor union strikes on the economy, among other factors.
Weekly corn and soybean inspections are running 10.8% and 8.7% ahead of a year-ago, respectively. Meanwhile, wheat inspections are nearly 29% behind the same time last year.
USDA pegged Sept. 1 corn stocks at 1.361 billion bu., 68 million bu. lower than pre-report expectations and 16 million bu. lower than year-ago. Soybean stocks were above pre-report estimates by 26 mb.
USDA reported wheat sales in week ended Sept. 21 totaled 544,500 MT, which capped the top-end pre-report estimate by 45,000 MT. Meanwhile corn sales were mid-range; soybeans were nearer the low-end of expectations.
USDA reported inspections for corn, soybeans and wheat within trade expectations. Corn inspections remain steadily ahead of year-ago, while soybeans went from notably trailing year-ago to running ahead.