It’s typical for frozen beef stocks to rise during December, though the increase was slightly greater than normal. It’s also normal for pork stocks to decline in December, though the drop was less than average.
Corn and soybeans are under pressure as wheat futures find support to start the week. Cattle futures are sharply lower as lean hog futures post corrective losses.
Wheat futures were supported by increased geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine, while soybeans and corn were pressured by South American weather.
The National Weather Service’s (NWS) 90-day forecast continues to give elevated odds of above-normal temps and below-normal precip across HRW areas of the Southern Plains through April.
Soybeans posted double-digit losses overnight coming out of the extended weekend, while corn was slightly lower. Wheat futures posted corrective gains.
The wheat market had the biggest reaction to the data as winter wheat seedings topped expectations, while U.S. and global wheat ending stocks increased from last month.
Too much heat and dryness across southern Brazil and northeastern Argentina, along with too much rain in some areas of central and northeastern Brazil continues to curb South American crop production prospects.
A slow weakening of the La Nina weather pattern is expected in January, but its influence on South American weather will likely continue without much change into at least mid-January.
Corn, soybean and wheat futures are higher to start the week although spring wheat futures are lower on profit taking. Livestock futures are also higher.
USDA estimates there were 11.985 million head of cattle in large feedlots (1,000-plus head) as of Dec. 1, down 51,000 head (0.4%) from both year-ago and the average pre-report estimate.
Soybean futures extended Tuesday’s strong rally overnight, while old-crop corn futures finally topped the $6 level after nearly two months of trying to get above that psychological mark.