First Thing Today
This morning report highlights the overnight trading session and key domestic and global developments impacting markets.
Friendly USDA data lifts corn, soybean and wheat. Argentine exchange expects soybean plantings to slide for sixth year in a row. Moderate Democrats pressure Pelosi to take up physical infrastructure package.
USDA’s WASDE and Crop Production Report out at 11:00 a.m. CT. China trims soybean import projection for 2020-21. Low water levels on Parana River could get worse before it gets better.
Stifling summer heat stretches from coast to coast. Heat and dryness remain problematic in Canada. House to cut recess short, take up Democratic budget plan. Delta variant is threatening China’s economic recovery.
Cordonnier holds U.S. corn and soybean yield projections steady after recent rain. Senate Democrats on Monday unveiled a $3.5 trillion spending plan. Information regarding aid for contract hog producers could come soon
Commodity trade keeping an eye on tumbling crude oil futures. Weekend rains lighter than expected for much of the western Corn Belt. Sanderson Farms announces $4.53 billion sale to Continental Grain.
July jobs update awaited. Temp swings stressing Argentine wheat, but not enough to lower crop prospects. China to release reserves of commodities ‘essential for livelihood,’ takes more steps to control hog supply.
Global food prices dip in July. Shipping container rates soar. A top Federal Reserve official said higher interest rates could come as soon as early 2023. Boxed beef prices still roaring higher.
Diminished rain chances for the Corn Belt over the weekend, but rain possible mid-month. StoneX’s U.S. corn crop forecast well under USDA’s. China to probe fertilizer firms.
Cordonnier sticks with U.S. yield pegs, but anxious about dry northwest Corn Belt. Frost shrinks Brazil’s winter wheat crop. Egypt to raise subsidized bread prices. ASF spreading across the Dominican Republic.
Wheat rallying to kick off August. Dry start to August, but temperatures not expected to be threatening. Big slowdown in soybean crush expected. Republican senators seek meeting with Biden on biofuels.
Profit-taking moved in overnight. Spring wheat tour confirms heavy toll of drought. China to suspend some fertilizer exports. Pork and cash hog prices fall.
Second day of spring wheat tour finds even lower yields. Bunge CEO optimistic Chinese demand for corn is here to stay. USDA confirms ASF in Dominican Republic.
Excessive heat continues for central U.S.; severe weather possible. Day 1 of spring wheat tour calculates a sub-30 bpa yield. Fed meeting ends today. CDC urges masks indoors for everyone in areas of surging cases.
Markets bounce as crop condition ratings slide. Sultry weather grips Northern Plains and western Corn Belt. Latest WHIP+/ag disaster bill authorizes up to $8.5 billion for eligible 2020 and 2021 disasters.
Hot, dry week likely for much of the Midwest & Plains. Low Parana River water levels likely to get worse before they get better. Vilsack predicts moderation in food inflation. Friendly cattle reports may boost futures.
Evening weather update calls for less Midwest rain. French wheat crop ratings dip again, with heavy rains eroding crop prospects. Chinese soybean imports could slow 2H of 2021. Taper talk at the Fed.
Profit-taking overnight. Industry still trying to get a handle on Canada’s wheat and canola crops. Central China is dealing with floods. FTC adopts policy statement to take on ‘right to repair.’
A high pressure ridge could lead to more drying in western Corn Belt, Northern Plains. USDA isn’t the only one missing the mark on Canada’s wheat crop. Odds are low for a proposed bill to end corn-ethanol mandate.
Grain and soy futures rallied overnight amid a concerning forecast for some areas and lower-than-expected corn and spring wheat condition ratings.
Spring wheat still soaring amid weather woes, with the warm dry forecast for the western Corn Belt concerning. China’s grain imports are still soaring. Its Sichuan province reported ASF in illegally transported piglets