After the Bell | July 26, 2021
Corn, soybeans end higher amid slightly reduced rainfall outlook for Midwest, wheat lower as winter harvest moves along.
Corn inspections were also decent and above 1 MMT. Soybean inspections were near the upper end of expectations, though the overall tally was still pretty light.
Corn soybean and wheat futures open the week under pressure on Friday’s poor closes and overnight pressure. Cattle futures are firmer on USDA’s Cattle Inventory Report, out Friday. Hog futures are mildly softer.
Hot, dry week likely for much of the Midwest & Plains. Low Parana River water levels likely to get worse before they get better. Vilsack predicts moderation in food inflation. Friendly cattle reports may boost futures.
Temps cool in Canada but dryness remains, China's soybean imports are expected to slow in the second half of the year and GOP leaders say they will oppose efforts to increase government borrowing limits...
Evening weather update calls for less Midwest rain. French wheat crop ratings dip again, with heavy rains eroding crop prospects. Chinese soybean imports could slow 2H of 2021. Taper talk at the Fed.
“Active weather prevailed across much of the South, East, and Midwest, as well as parts of the Plains, into the middle of July, followed by a southward shift in widespread shower activity,” today's report says.
Canadian wheat crop struggles are not yet reflected in crop estimates, Senate Republicans block debate on infrastructure and China is dealing with major flooding...
Profit-taking overnight. Industry still trying to get a handle on Canada’s wheat and canola crops. Central China is dealing with floods. FTC adopts policy statement to take on ‘right to repair.'
Given last year’s pandemic-related disruptions to the cattle herd, the data could receive more market attention than it typically does, with traders likely to take particular note of USDA’s calf crop estimate.
On average, analysts surveyed by Reuters expect USDA’s Cattle on Feed Report to show there were around 11.324 million head of cattle on feed as of July 1, down 1% from year-ago levels.
The weather forecast remains concerning, Putin says he will work to curb food prices in Russia and the Federal Maritime Commission will conduct audits on major shippers...
A high pressure ridge could lead to more drying in western Corn Belt, Northern Plains. USDA isn’t the only one missing the mark on Canada’s wheat crop. Odds are low for a proposed bill to end corn-ethanol mandate.
Reuters is reporting the White House delayed rulemaking on RFS. More freezing temperatures likely for Brazil in the days and weeks ahead. CRP signup deadline is Friday.