This morning the National Weather Service issued their new 90-day seasonal outlook for the U.S. covering October through December. The temperature forecast shows nearly all the continental U.S. leaning towards a hotter than average fall season, with the areas most likely to see warmer than average temperatures being the Southwest and Northeast continental U.S. The only region spared from the warmer than usual forecast is the Pacific northwest.The precipitation outlook indicated the southern plains, southwest, and deep south regions of the country are likely to trend dryer. Florida and small portions of the Pacific northwest are expected to receive well above average rainfall, with the rest of the U.S. and most major row crop states expected to be close to normal.
The seasonal outlook for drought calls for persistent drought in the southwest U.S., general areas around the southern Rocky Mountains, southern California, and the eastern corn belt. The forecast expects drought to improve in portions of the Pacific northwest, even reaching somewhat in to the interior. Drought is likely to improve in the far northeastern reaches of the country as well.