Corn Crop Condition Index improves despite slight drop in USDA ratings

Improvements in the western Corn Belt outweighed deterioration elsewhere

Corn_Good_Excellent.png
(USDA/Pro Farmer)

USDA’s weekly Crop Progress and Condition report showed corn ratings dip slightly from the prior week, with soybean ratings mildly declining from last week as well. Winter wheat ratings were unchanged as the harvest carries on, and is now 48% complete. State-level breakdowns of the Pro Farmer Crop Condition Index, which compresses the USDA’s weekly crop progress report into a single, weighted, easy-to-track number that’s widely used to monitor the health and potential of U.S. crops during the growing season, and more details around USDA ratings, are below.

Corn

USDA’s rating of the corn crop shows 8% as very poor to poor, 25% fair, and 67% good to excellent. Despite the Good to Excellent category declining 1% from last week, the Crop Condition Index (on a 0-to-500 scale, 500 = perfect) shows a 0.70 point net increase. Improvements were mostly seen in the western Corn Belt that slightly more than offset declining conditions in the east,

Pro Farmer Crop Condition Index for Corn
StateThis WeekLast weekYear-ago
Colorado (0.86%*)2.983.053.29
Illinois (15.63%)52.7653.3555.26
Indiana (6.96%)24.0424.7023.84
Iowa (17.37%)65.4164.9167.93
Kansas (4.27%)17.9518.0017.90
Kentucky (1.63%)5.845.925.90
Michigan (2.32%)8.368.387.92
Minnesota (9.85%)38.0237.7337.34
Missouri (3.80%)14.0414.2414.75
Nebraska (11.37%)43.9142.8546.14
North Carolina (0.69%)1.941.942.82
North Dakota (3.26%)13.9213.8113.28
Ohio (4.18%)13.9813.4813.91
Pennsylvania (0.66%)2.612.662.63
South Dakota (5.47%)21.9521.8922.60
Tennessee (0.81%)3.303.273.06
Texas (1.41%)5.345.605.98
Wisconsin (3.66%)13.9913.9213.71
Corn total372.77372.07381.19

* denotes percentage of total national corn crop production.

Soybeans

USDA’s soybean ratings show the crop rated as 8% very poor to poor, 27% fair, and 65% good to excellent. The good to excellent categories declined 1% last week. The CCI rating dropped 0.92 points from last week. State-level changes were mostly minimal, but Illinois and Indiana notched 1.39 and 0.93 declines respectively which outweighed minor gains elsewhere in the country.

Pro Farmer Crop Condition Index for Soybeans
StateThis WeekLast weekYear-ago
Arkansas (3.82%*)13.9014.0913.90
Illinois (15.74%)54.3955.7853.62
Indiana (7.90%)28.2629.1927.63
Iowa (13.73%)53.0352.4853.58
Kansas (3.03%)13.0412.9713.15
Kentucky (2.32%)7.957.978.01
Louisiana (1.18%)3.753.614.22
Michigan (2.38%)8.478.497.84
Minnesota (8.19%)31.6931.4431.20
Mississippi (2.38%)9.088.899.25
Missouri (6.45%)22.6522.8424.14
Nebraska (6.60%)25.7225.3025.85
North Carolina (1.48%)4.974.905.45
North Dakota (5.18%)19.1619.3218.67
Ohio (6.31%)21.6521.2821.96
South Dakota (5.06%)19.3219.3219.86
Tennessee (1.82%)6.596.615.99
Wisconsin (2.52%)9.669.669.58
Soybean total366.80367.72367.46

* denotes percentage of total national soybean production.

Wheat

Spring wheat ratings came in at 7% very poor to poor, 34% fair, and 59% good to excellent. The good to excellent category climbed 5% from the previous week, and increased the CCI rating 4.48 points from last week to 362.16.

This WeekLast weekYear-ago
Idaho* (6.90%)26.1625.8123.04
Minnesota (15.24%)60.3459.8858.98
Montana (12.74%)40.8840.3734.17
North Dakota (55.32%)200.81197.49203.27
South Dakota (5.95%)20.5920.5922.02
Washington (3.86%)13.3813.5313.89
HRS total362.16357.68355.37

* denotes percentage of total national HRS crop production.

Winter wheat was rated at 47% very poor to poor, 27% fair, and 26% good to excellent. The good to excellent category was unchanged from last week. The Crop Condition Index showed HRW declined 3.18 points to 235.37, while SRW increased 1.67 points to 369.02. Harvest is currently 48% complete, and came in 5% lower than the average analyst estimate. The pace of harvest was previously the fastest since 2012 before slowing this past week.

Pro Farmer Crop Condition Index for HRW Wheat
This weekLast weekLast year
Kansas (39.35%*)92.8792.87126.32
Oklahoma (13.12%)28.9928.9944.47
Texas (11.2%)24.5224.5233.59
Colorado (9.49%)18.6120.3234.08
Nebraska (5.64%)9.149.3115.57
S. Dakota (5.10%)14.9915.8115.91
Montana (12.73%)38.3338.7139.09
HRW total235.37238.55319.80

* denotes percentage of three-year average of total national HRW crop production.

Pro Farmer Crop Condition Index for SRW Wheat
This weekLast weekLast year
Missouri (10.05%*)38.0838.0837.48
Illinois (16.54%)63.5363.5357.58
Ohio (12.13%)44.5243.7945.37
Arkansas (1.58%)5.455.455.24
Indiana (6.42%)23.9324.2523.80
N. Carolina (5.50%)16.5416.5418.52
Michigan (10.75%)40.3039.6641.49
SRW total369.02367.35364.44

* denotes percentage of three-year average of total national SRW crop production.

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