After a shaky start, the ceasefire held over the past week, leading to a favorable risk-on tone in the general marketplace. Iran’s declaration that the Strait of Hormuz is open and prospects for further peace talks spurred a hefty selloff in crude oil and sent stocks to record highs. Meanwhile, market participants continue to ponder the long-term implications of the shutdown of the strait, with southern hemisphere wheat growers weighing what it might look like to plant a crop without needed fertilizers. We examine why the farm economy won’t recover as quickly as the economy as a whole. South American production estimates continue to rise, likely to serve up competition on the world market for U.S. supplies. We cover all this and much more in this week’s newsletter.
Your Pro Farmer newsletter (April 18, 2026) is now available
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(ProFarmer)