The extended forecast from the National Weather Service (NWS) gives increased odds for above-normal precip over virtually all major corn and soybean producing areas for June through August. The forecast shows “equal chances” for above-, below and normal temperatures during the three-month period, with above-normal temps for the remainder of the country. The forecast for June is similar. Above-normal rainfall and neutral to warm temps would suggest favorable conditions for crop development.
The extended NWS forecast fits with the Climate Prediction Center’s (CPC) outlook calling for roughly two-thirds odds that ENSO-neutral conditions will persist through summer. Odds of La Niña developing (warmer and drier conditions) during the growing season are put at only 25% to 38% by CPC.