Latest News From Meghan Vick

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Corn ratings stabilize, soybean and spring wheat ratings still falling

Find highlights from today's Crop Progress and Condition Report.

farmland values
Farm optimism fades as producers fear rising input costs, labor shortages

“Producers in June were less optimistic about both current conditions on their farming operations as well as their expectations for the future,” with the former driving the decline, according to today’s report.

Corn inspections edged higher to close June
Corn inspections edged higher to close June

Inspections of corn and soybeans were in line with expectations the week ended July 1, though expectations for soybean shipments were admittedly light. Wheat inspections fell just short of expectations.

First Thing Today | July 6, 2021
First Thing Today | July 6, 2021

Rain ahead for U.S. Northern Plains and Midwest as well as the Canadian Prairies. Cordonnier lowered his U.S. corn and soybean yield estimates, as well as his corn crop projections for Brazil and Paraguay.

Evening Report | July 2, 2021
Evening Report | July 2, 2021

The D.C. Circuit Court overturns year-round E15. Brazil’s ship lineup for corn down 54% from year-ago. And job growth surges in June. Find more afternoon news updates.

First Thing Today | July 2, 2021
First Thing Today | July 2, 2021

Grain and soy futures are rising ahead of long holiday weekend. The focal point today is the June jobs report. Meanwhile, a USDA attaché expects Chinese imports of corn to slow notably in 2021-22.

Evening Report | July 1, 2021

Recent rains did little to budge drought in Upper Midwest and Northern Plains. Soybean crush a bit higher than expected for May. StoneX slices its Brazilian corn crop estimate again.

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Recent rains did little to budge drought in Upper Midwest and Northern Plains

A stalled frontal boundary brought widespread, heavy rain and flash flooding to parts of the lower Midwest. But the Upper Midwest largely missed out on the heaviest rains, maintaining drought concerns.

Strong new-crop soybean export sales, as expected
Strong new-crop soybean export sales, as expected

The bulk of these big new-crop soybean sales was known via USDA’s daily reporting service. Old-crop sales were light, as expected, but they were able to stay in positive territory.

First Thing Today | July 1, 2021
First Thing Today | July 1, 2021

Corn and beans rallying on bullish acreage data. Monthly soy and corn processing reports out today. TPA expires with little fanfare and the U.S. and Taiwan restarted trade talks.

Evening Report | June 30, 2021
Evening Report | June 30, 2021

Highlights from USDA's Acreage and Quarterly Grain Stocks Reports. Some early assessments of frost damage in Brazil.

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Soybean planted acres slide vs. March intentions

Corn planted acres climbed from March intentions, but by around 1.1 million acres less than analysts expected. USDA’s June 1 stocks estimates came in on the friendly side of expectations for corn, soybeans and wheat.

First Thing Today | June 30, 2021
First Thing Today | June 30, 2021

June Acreage Report, Quarterly Grain Stocks out today. Rains limit frost damage in Brazil’s northern Parana, with another frost/freeze expected tonight. A bipartisan low-carbon biofuels bill will be unveiled today.

Evening Report | June 29, 2021
Evening Report | June 29, 2021

StatsCan calling for big jump in canola acres, smaller wheat planted area. China announces more corn auctions. And a look at how infrastructure/reconciliation measures might play out.

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StatsCan calling for big jump in canola acres, smaller wheat planted area

Analysts surveyed by Reuters did a pretty good job anticipating Statistics Canada’s planted acreage adjustments.

First Thing Today | June 29, 2021
First Thing Today | June 29, 2021

Frost/freeze the latest ding for Brazil’s battered safrinha corn crop. Solid heat wave for the western Corn Belt likely the latter half of July.

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Condition ratings disappoint for corn, soybeans and especially spring wheat

Find highlights from today's weekly USDA Crop Progress and Condition Report.

Evening Report | June 28, 2021
Evening Report | June 28, 2021

Corn condition ratings continued to slide, with spring wheat conditions posting another big drop.

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Corn and soybean acres expected to climb, but how much is unclear

June 1 grain stocks will be down sharply, but history signals there could be surprises.

Light corn, soybean and wheat inspections
Light corn, soybean and wheat inspections

But today’s update also featured upside revisions to USDA’s initially reported soybean and especially corn export inspections for the week ending June 17.

First Thing Today | June 28, 2021
First Thing Today | June 28, 2021

It was a wet weekend for the Midwest, but a dry, warm forecast for the Upper Midwest with heat moving into the Northern Plains keep weather concerns close at hand.

Your Pro Farmer newsletter (June 26, 2021) is now available!
Your Pro Farmer newsletter (June 26, 2021) is now available!

Inside you'll find weather updates, both sides of the livestock pricing issue, an update on an infrastructure deal and market-by-market analysis and marketing advice.

First Thing Today | June 25, 2021
First Thing Today | June 25, 2021

Heavy rain and storms are on tap for southern and eastern areas of the Midwest. The infrastructure agreement faces some high hurdles reaching the finish line. USDA's monthly Cattle on Feed Report is out this afternoon.

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Biden and bipartisan group of lawmakers reach deal on infrastructure

The measure includes $579 billion in new spending on infrastructure, for a total price tag of $1.2 trillion over eight years.

Marketings are expected to surge vs. year-ago but decline compared to May 2019
Marketings are expected to surge vs. year-ago but decline compared to May 2019

Find expectations for tomorrow's Cattle on Feed Report.

Warm and dry in the South, Central and West; cooler in the North, Northwest
Rains for the eastern Corn Belt, but western Belt still drying out

Severe thunderstorms affected parts of northern Illinois, northern Indiana, northern Ohio, and southern Michigan on Sunday. But other Midwest areas continued to dry out.

No major surprises in today’s export sales update
No major surprises in today’s export sales update

Corn sales were near the midpoint of expectations, with exports holding strong. Old-crop soybean sales were near the upper end of expectations, but new-crop sales fell short. Wheat sales also met expectations.

First Thing Today | June 24, 2021
First Thing Today | June 24, 2021

Corn is hitting new lows for the month, with soybeans also under pressure. Sellers continue to dominate lean hog market and limits expand ahead of USDA's weekly export sales update and its Quarterly Hogs & Pigs Report.

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Hogs & Pigs Report expected to show U.S. hog herd down 2.3% from year-ago

On average, analysts surveyed by Reuters expect USDA will report the June 1 hog herd around 75.572 million head.

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FBN calling for soybean plantings to drop more than 1 million acres vs. March intentions

While corn prices rallied 22% from March 31 to June 1, soybean prices dipped 3%, lifting corn planting intentions at the expense of soybeans, according to FBN's survey work.

First Thing Today | June 23, 2021
First Thing Today | June 23, 2021

Welcome rains fell in Iowa, but western areas of the state again missed out. Levels of South America's Parana River remain problematic. Fed Chair Powell said high prices should wane. Higher cash cattle trade picks up.

Cold Storage Report: Build in frozen pork stocks concerning
Cold Storage Report: Build in frozen pork stocks concerning

Frozen pork stocks stood at 461.14 million lbs. at the end of May, which was a 4.22-million-lb. (0.9%) build from April versus the usual 34-million-lb.-retreat for the month.

First Thing Today | June 22, 2021
First Thing Today | June 22, 2021

Spring wheat soars amid a dive in condition ratings. Cordonnier sticks with his U.S. crop estimates, but he cut Brazil's corn crop. Farm-state lawmakers want biofuel provisions to be wrapped into infrastructure package.

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Hot, dry weather stresses crops in heart of the Corn Belt and Northern Plains

Spring wheat ratings plummeted, and corn came in lower than expected. Find more highlights from today's weekly Crop Progress and Condition Report here.

Evening Report | June 21, 2021
Evening Report | June 21, 2021

Corn condition ratings dropped a bit more than expected, while spring wheat ratings plummeted. Cotton ratings improved notably.

RCR expects Chinese soybean buying to fade later this summer and into the fall
RCR expects Chinese soybean buying to fade later this summer and into the fall

Refinitiv Commodities Research says trade flow data signals China will likely import 11.6 MMT of soybeans during June, which would be an all-time monthly high.

Wheat inspections top expectations
Wheat inspections top expectations

Corn inspections were also solid, with last week’s tally revised roughly 66,500 MT higher.

First Thing Today | June 21, 2021
First Thing Today | June 21, 2021

Midwest rains are weighing on grain and soy futures. Chinese imports of Brazilian beans picked up in May. And Biden's opposition to a gas tax proposal and Democratic infighting could derail latest infrastructure effort.

Reuters: China scoops up U.S. soybeans on price plunge
Reuters: China scoops up U.S. soybeans on price plunge

China’s state-owned importers bought at least eight cargos (480,000 MT) of U.S. soybeans, today, two traders familiar with the deal toward Reuters. And that tally could climb even higher.

ProFarmerSquare
Your Pro Farmer newsletter is now available!

A weather market is in full swing, with commodities diving the past week. Inside this week's letter you'll find plenty of updates on the forecast, crop conditions (crop comments are back!) and Washington happenings.

First Thing Today | June 18, 2021
First Thing Today | June 18, 2021

Volatility is here. Money flow will be key to market action moving forward. China remained an aggressive importers of grains and pork during May, despite high prices. Refiners appear to be betting on a blending reprieve.

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Drought worsens across Iowa, rains do little good in the Dakotas

Warm, dry conditions prevailed in northern and western areas of the Midwest the week ending June 15, resulting in the “widespread worsening of drought and dryness,” according to today’s National Drought Monitor.

High prices limited export sales of corn, soybeans and wheat last week
High prices limited export sales of corn, soybeans and wheat last week

Export sales of corn were light, as expected, but old-crop sales did manage to stay in positive territory. Wheat sales were also near the lower end of expectations. Total soybean sales fell short of 72,000 MT.

First Thing Today | June 17, 2021
First Thing Today | June 17, 2021

Hot, stormy weather is expected for the Midwest, pressuring grain and soy futures. A bipartisan infrastructure plan gains support. And Biden and Putin agree to disagree at their summit yesterday.

money-question-mark
Fed moves timeline on higher interest rates to 2023

The Fed cited an improving economy and dropped its longstanding reference that the Covid-19 pandemic was weighing on the economy.

First Thing Today | June 16, 2021
First Thing Today | June 16, 2021

Some buying returned to grain futures overnight. Markets will zero in on the Fed today and whether it bumps up its timeline for higher interest rates. Meanwhile, China is reporting its sow herd is near pre-ASF levels.

Evening Report | June 15, 2021
Evening Report | June 15, 2021

China to auction off a small amount of corn. NOPA crush once again comes in lighter than expected. Late safrinha corn harvest presents challenges for Brazilian producers.

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USDA expands CLEAR30 pilot nationwide

USDA announced today it will expand the Clean Lakes, Estuaries, And Rivers initiative, called CLEAR30, from a pilot program to a nationwide program.