Latest News From Meghan Vick

First Thing Today | July 23, 2021
First Thing Today | July 23, 2021

Evening weather update calls for less Midwest rain. French wheat crop ratings dip again, with heavy rains eroding crop prospects. Chinese soybean imports could slow 2H of 2021. Taper talk at the Fed.

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Cold Storage Report signals sizzling beef demand

Frozen beef stocks dropped 4.3% during June whereas they typically hold near steady for the period.

Evening Report | July 22, 2021
Evening Report | July 22, 2021

Spotty Midwest drought improvement, spring wheat areas still baking.

Warm and dry in the South, Central and West; cooler in the North, Northwest
Spotty Midwest drought improvement, spring wheat areas still baking

“Active weather prevailed across much of the South, East, and Midwest, as well as parts of the Plains, into the middle of July, followed by a southward shift in widespread shower activity,” today's report says.

Net corn sales reduction as price surge clips demand
Net corn sales reduction as price surge clips demand

On the other hand, wheat sales climbed in the face of rising futures prices, with USDA also reporting a small but unexpected sale for 2022-23.

First Thing Today | July 22, 2021
First Thing Today | July 22, 2021

Profit-taking overnight. Industry still trying to get a handle on Canada’s wheat and canola crops. Central China is dealing with floods. FTC adopts policy statement to take on ‘right to repair.'

Semi-annual Cattle Inventory Report expected to reflect ongoing herd contraction
Semi-annual Cattle Inventory Report expected to reflect ongoing herd contraction

Given last year’s pandemic-related disruptions to the cattle herd, the data could receive more market attention than it typically does, with traders likely to take particular note of USDA’s calf crop estimate.

High degree of uncertainty about coming cattle placements number
High degree of uncertainty about coming cattle placements number

On average, analysts surveyed by Reuters expect USDA’s Cattle on Feed Report to show there were around 11.324 million head of cattle on feed as of July 1, down 1% from year-ago levels.

Evening Report | July 21, 2021
Evening Report | July 21, 2021

Another forecast for an even bigger 2021-22 Brazilian bean crop. High degree of uncertainty about coming cattle placements number.

First Thing Today | July 21, 2021
First Thing Today | July 21, 2021

A high pressure ridge could lead to more drying in western Corn Belt, Northern Plains. USDA isn’t the only one missing the mark on Canada’s wheat crop. Odds are low for a proposed bill to end corn-ethanol mandate.

Evening Report | July 20, 2021
Evening Report | July 20, 2021

Reuters is reporting the White House delayed rulemaking on RFS. More freezing temperatures likely for Brazil in the days and weeks ahead. CRP signup deadline is Friday.

Reuters: White House delays rulemaking on RFS
Reuters: White House delays rulemaking on RFS

The Biden administration has delayed its annual rulemaking process regarding its biofuel blending mandates under the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) for 2021 (2022 for biodiesel), Reuters says in an exclusive report.

First Thing Today | July 20, 2021
First Thing Today | July 20, 2021

Grain and soy futures rallied overnight amid a concerning forecast for some areas and lower-than-expected corn and spring wheat condition ratings.

Corn conditions hold steady, spring wheat ratings dive again
Corn conditions hold steady, spring wheat ratings dive again

Find highlights from today's Crop Progress and Condition Report.

Evening Report | July 19, 2021
Evening Report | July 19, 2021

Spring wheat ratings dive again, as hot, dry weather bakes crop.

Wheat inspections climb in the face of rising prices
Wheat inspections climb in the face of rising prices

Export inspections of corn, soybeans and wheat were all in line with expectations, with the corn tally holding above 1 MMT and wheat inspections nearing 500,000 MT. Soybean futures were light, as expected.

First Thing Today | July 19, 2021
First Thing Today | July 19, 2021

Spring wheat still soaring amid weather woes, with the warm dry forecast for the western Corn Belt concerning. China’s grain imports are still soaring. Its Sichuan province reported ASF in illegally transported piglets

Evening Report | July 16, 2021
Evening Report | July 16, 2021

USDA raises its 2021 beef export forecast, trims total supply for 2022. July rural mainstreet index shows strong rural economies. Pork processors lost their line speeds appeal.

Crops Analysis | July 16, 2021
Crops Analysis | July 16, 2021

Weather will be the focal point next week as heat is expected to build, especially in the northwestern Corn Belt, where extreme temps are likely.

Livestock Analysis | July 16, 2021
Livestock Analysis | July 16, 2021

Rising cash and wholesale values boosted hog futures Friday.

10:30 a.m. Market Snapshot | July 16, 2021
10:30 a.m. Market Snapshot | July 16, 2021

A midmorning update on commodity market action.

First Thing Today | July 16, 2021
First Thing Today | July 16, 2021

Extreme heat coming for spring wheat country. Brazil’s corn contract washouts could be the highest since 2016. Xi raises food security to national security concern. Germany confirms its first cases of ASF in farm pigs.

Evening Report | July 15, 2021
Evening Report | July 15, 2021

Worrisome long-term weather maps for spring wheat country and into the western Corn Belt. NOPA’s June crush slows more than anticipated. Schumer plans to tee up infrastructure vote next week.

Livestock Analysis | July 15, 2021
Livestock Analysis | July 15, 2021

Afternoon commentary on hog and cattle market action.

NOPA’s June crush slows more than anticipated
NOPA’s June crush slows more than anticipated

The data signals USDA is likely too high with its soy crush forecast.

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Worrisome long-term weather maps for spring wheat country and into the western Corn Belt

The National Weather Service's 30- and 90-day forecasts favor continued warm, dry weather for these areas.

Weekly export sales light across the board over holiday reporting period
Weekly export sales light across the board over holiday reporting period

That said, sales of most commodities were in line with expectations and the only net sales reduction was for soyoil.

First Thing Today | July 15, 2021
First Thing Today | July 15, 2021

Another slowdown in crush expected for June, with export sales also out today. Low water levels on Argentina’s Parana River still causing headaches. Chinese pork production hits seven-year high in Q2

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Beige Book notes the Fed’s business contacts not convinced inflation is transitory

The U.S. economy displayed “moderate to robust growth” from late May to early July, according to today’s Beige Book released by the Federal Reserve.

10:30 a.m. Market Snapshot | July 14, 2021
10:30 a.m. Market Snapshot | July 14, 2021

Midmorning update on commodity market action.

First Thing Today | July 14, 2021
First Thing Today | July 14, 2021

Storms expected to roll across the Midwest from today forward. China’s summer wheat crop up from 2020, but quality is a concern. Biden to meet with Senate Democrats about their $3.5-tril. budget reconciliation plan.

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La Nina re-emergence could spell trouble for Brazilian producers, opportunity for the U.S.

“A return of La Nina could aggravate an already exceptional drought in south-central Brazil that has resulted in one of the driest periods in over 90 years," says South American Crop Consultant Dr. Michael Cordonnier.

USDA provides some details on animal depopulation/disposal assistance
USDA provides some details on animal depopulation/disposal assistance

Livestock and poultry producers who suffered losses during the Covid-19 pandemic due to insufficient access to processing can apply for aid under USDA's Pandemic Livestock Indemnity Program from July 20 to Sept. 17.

Evening Report | July 13, 2021
Evening Report | July 13, 2021

La Nina re-emergence could spell trouble for Brazilian producers, opportunity for the U.S.

Livestock Analysis | July 13, 2021
Livestock Analysis | July 13, 2021

Closing commentary on lean hog and live cattle futures.

First Thing Today | July 13, 2021
First Thing Today | July 13, 2021

Spring wheat CCI rating plunges again. Chinese purchases of soybeans, corn, wheat and meat all up from year-ago through June. Transportation spending bill has a spending offset issue. Cash hog bids dive.

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Modest rise in corn condition ratings, as expected

Highlights from today's Crop Progress and Condition Report.

Evening Report | July 12, 2021
Evening Report | July 12, 2021

USDA’s initial spring wheat crop estimate much smaller than expected.

USDA’s initial spring wheat crop estimate much smaller than expected
USDA’s initial spring wheat crop estimate much smaller than expected

USDA maintained its weather-adjusted trendline yield estimates for both corn and soybeans and incorporated its June 30 harvested acreage estimates.

Corn inspections just shy of 1 MMT
Corn inspections just shy of 1 MMT

Inspections for corn, soybeans and wheat were in line with expectations.

First Thing Today | July 12, 2021
First Thing Today | July 12, 2021

Markets favoring the upside as trade readies for USDA reports. Timely rain for much of the Corn Belt, but Upper Midwest remains dry. China to boost boost storage capacity and ease restrictions for small hog producers.

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Trade signals high degree of uncertainty regarding U.S. new-crop carryover

Find expectations for USDA's July 12 Crop Production and WASDE reports.

corn harvest
Conab drops its Brazilian corn crop estimate to 93.4

Drought and frost have taken a toll on the late-planted crop.

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Drought still spreading in northern and western areas of the Corn Belt

“Another week of hot, dry weather in the Pacific Northwest, Northern Rockies, Northern Plains, and Upper Midwest led to the expansion of drought conditions,” today’s National Drought Monitory summary says.

First Thing Today | July 8, 2021
First Thing Today | July 8, 2021

More rain for the southern, eastern areas of the Midwest heading into the weekend. Wildfire disrupting shipping at Canada’s largest port. Global food prices slide for the first time in a year.

10:30 a.m. Market Snapshot | July 7, 2021
10:30 a.m. Market Snapshot | July 7, 2021

Midmorning update on commodity market action.

First Thing Today | July 7, 2021
First Thing Today | July 7, 2021

Corrective buying after yesterday’s dive. Fed to release FOMC minutes today. Chinese corn production likely to climb at least 6% in 2021-22. Vilsack heading to Nebraska for a ‘major announcement’ on Friday.