Latest News From Meghan Vick

Your  Pro Farmer newsletter (Aug. 14, 2021) is now available!
Your Pro Farmer newsletter (Aug. 14, 2021) is now available!

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10:30 a.m. Market Snapshot | Aug. 13, 2021
10:30 a.m. Market Snapshot | Aug. 13, 2021

Your midmorning update on commodity market action.

First Thing Today | Aug. 13, 2021
First Thing Today | Aug. 13, 2021

Friendly USDA data lifts corn, soybean and wheat. Argentine exchange expects soybean plantings to slide for sixth year in a row. Moderate Democrats pressure Pelosi to take up physical infrastructure package.

Evening Report | Aug. 12, 2021
Evening Report | Aug. 12, 2021

USDA’s initial corn crop estimate well shy of expectations. First data dump of FSA certified acreage.

USDA-sorghum-harvest
USDA’s initial corn crop estimate well shy of expectations

Its initial soybean crop estimate was also a bit smaller than expected, and it sliced its all wheat crop quite a bit more than the market anticipated. The market was also caught leaning the wrong way on cotton.

Rains provided just spotty drought relief for the Midwest and Northern Plains
Rains provided just spotty drought relief for the Midwest and Northern Plains

“Increased drought coverage and intensity was more common, as a large majority of these areas recorded light precipitation at best,” today’s drought summary says.

Soybean sales push above 1.2 MMT on strong buying by “unknown” and China
Soybean sales push above 1.2 MMT on strong buying by “unknown” and China

But exports of the oilseed hit a marketing-year low.

First Thing Today | Aug. 12, 2021
First Thing Today | Aug. 12, 2021

USDA’s WASDE and Crop Production Report out at 11:00 a.m. CT. China trims soybean import projection for 2020-21. Low water levels on Parana River could get worse before it gets better.

Evening Report | Aug. 11, 2021
Evening Report | Aug. 11, 2021

Estimates for Russia’s wheat crop continue to slide amid dry, hot weather. U.S. inflation remains at 13-year high in July.

First Thing Today | August 11, 2021
First Thing Today | August 11, 2021

Stifling summer heat stretches from coast to coast. Heat and dryness remain problematic in Canada. House to cut recess short, take up Democratic budget plan. Delta variant is threatening China’s economic recovery.

Analysts expect corn and soybean production to come in below July’s projections
Analysts expect corn and soybean production to come in below July’s projections

The data is also expected to remind of the thin supply cushion for both crops.

corn harvest
Conab slashes its Brazilian corn crop and export forecasts

The statistics agency also cut its soybean export forecast by 3.3 MMT and warned further cuts could be coming.

First Thing Today | August 10, 2021
First Thing Today | August 10, 2021

Cordonnier holds U.S. corn and soybean yield projections steady after recent rain. Senate Democrats on Monday unveiled a $3.5 trillion spending plan. Information regarding aid for contract hog producers could come soon

Corn ratings lifted by moisture and milder temperatures
Corn ratings lifted by moisture and milder temperatures

Soybean ratings did not improve in response. Find more highlights from today's Crop Progress and Condition Report here.

Evening Report | Aug. 9, 2021
Evening Report | Aug. 9, 2021

Corn ratings lifted by moisture and milder temperatures, but soybean ratings are steady to lower. Abiove expects smaller Brazilian soy crush in 2021, despite bigger crop.

Tyson to hike retail food prices in September, citing “unprecedented” inflation
Tyson to hike retail food prices in September, citing “unprecedented” inflation

Tyson Foods Inc. reported stronger-than-expected earnings for the third quarter, but the company says it cannot increase prices for chicken and prepared foods fast enough to keep pace with rising raw material prices

Weekly wheat export inspections impress
Weekly wheat export inspections impress

Corn inspections were more than halved compared with the week prior, with inspections coming up well short of expectations. Soybean inspections were also light and near the lower end of expectations.

First Thing Today | Aug. 9, 2021
First Thing Today | Aug. 9, 2021

Commodity trade keeping an eye on tumbling crude oil futures. Weekend rains lighter than expected for much of the western Corn Belt. Sanderson Farms announces $4.53 billion sale to Continental Grain.

First Thing Today | Aug. 6, 2021
First Thing Today | Aug. 6, 2021

July jobs update awaited. Temp swings stressing Argentine wheat, but not enough to lower crop prospects. China to release reserves of commodities ‘essential for livelihood,' takes more steps to control hog supply.

corn_harvets_sunset
More firms expect a sub-trendline corn yield

IHS Markit Agribusiness and Linn & Associations estimated the U.S. corn crop will yield an average of 176.5 bu. and 176.16 bu. per acre, respectively.

Evening Report | Aug. 5, 2021
Evening Report | Aug. 5, 2021

Drought worsens ‘significantly’ in Minnesota and northern Iowa. More firms expect a sub-trendline corn yield. Argentine strike suspended, for now. USDA to issue two new reports to improve cattle pricing transparency.

DrySoilSoutDakota
Drought worsens “significantly” in Minnesota and northern Iowa

Conditions were mixed for the Midwest the week ending Aug. 3, with heavy precipitation again favoring southern and eastern areas of the Midwest, with little to no rain in the Upper Midwest.

New-crop corn sales top expectations
New-crop corn sales top expectations

Old-crop sales of the grain were light, but in line with expectations. Wheat sales fell short of expectations. Soybean sales were in line with expectations, with new-crop business perking up a bit.

First Thing Today | Aug. 5, 2021
First Thing Today | Aug. 5, 2021

Global food prices dip in July. Shipping container rates soar. A top Federal Reserve official said higher interest rates could come as soon as early 2023. Boxed beef prices still roaring higher.

Evening Report | Aug. 4, 2021
Evening Report | Aug. 4, 2021

ANEC says Brazil’s corn exports will be halved in 2020-21. Trucker strike adds to Argentina’s shipping woes. Trucker strike adds to Argentina’s shipping woes.

First Thing Today | Aug. 4, 2021
First Thing Today | Aug. 4, 2021

Diminished rain chances for the Corn Belt over the weekend, but rain possible mid-month. StoneX’s U.S. corn crop forecast well under USDA’s. China to probe fertilizer firms.

CME/Purdue Ag Economy Barometer signals farmers nervous about rising input costs
CME/Purdue Ag Economy Barometer signals farmers nervous about rising input costs

The ag economy barometer stabilized at levels similar to where it stood for much of 2017 through 2019.

First Thing Today | Aug. 3, 2021
First Thing Today | Aug. 3, 2021

Cordonnier sticks with U.S. yield pegs, but anxious about dry northwest Corn Belt. Frost shrinks Brazil’s winter wheat crop. Egypt to raise subsidized bread prices. ASF spreading across the Dominican Republic.

Using genetic engineering, Benson Hill has developed a trait that allows corn plants to absorb more carbon, which translates into more grain.
Hot, dry weather for northwest Corn Belt again drags down corn ratings

On the other hand, soybean and spring wheat ratings unexpectedly improved. Find more highlights of USDA's Crop Progress and Condition report.

Corn export inspections impress
Corn export inspections impress

The amount of corn inspected for export handily topped expectations and the tally nearly doubled the year-ago figure. In addition, last week’s number was also revised nearly 150,000 MT higher.

First Thing Today | Aug. 2, 2021
First Thing Today | Aug. 2, 2021

Wheat rallying to kick off August. Dry start to August, but temperatures not expected to be threatening. Big slowdown in soybean crush expected. Republican senators seek meeting with Biden on biofuels.

WOTUS
EPA announces plans to revert to foundational WOTUS while it works to refine new rule

EPA and Army say they will work to develop a "a reasonable, effective, and durable definition of WOTUS," and enlist the public's help to do so.

First Thing Today | July 30, 2021
First Thing Today | July 30, 2021

Profit-taking moved in overnight. Spring wheat tour confirms heavy toll of drought. China to suspend some fertilizer exports. Pork and cash hog prices fall.

Evening Report | July 29, 2021
Evening Report | July 29, 2021

Drought worsens for the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest. IGC calling for little year-to-year change in global grain stocks.

Drought worsens for the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest
Drought worsens for the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest

Dry weather covered much of the Midwest the week ending July 27, and rising temperatures increased crop stress in the Upper Midwest.

Pork exports surge, despite slowdown in Chinese buying
Pork exports surge, despite slowdown in Chinese buying

Also of note, wheat sales climbed 46% from the four-week average to 515,200 MT, with China topping the list of buyers — despite elevated prices.

First Thing Today | July 29, 2021
First Thing Today | July 29, 2021

Second day of spring wheat tour finds even lower yields. Bunge CEO optimistic Chinese demand for corn is here to stay. USDA confirms ASF in Dominican Republic.

FOMC still believes inflation will moderate, but is discussing when and how to taper
FOMC still believes inflation will moderate, but is discussing when and how to taper

Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the Fed is still a ways away from considering raising interest rates, though he did acknowledge near-term risks to inflation are to the upside.

Evening Report | July 28, 2021
Evening Report | July 28, 2021

FOMC still believes inflation will moderate, but is discussing when and how to taper. Indiana farmland prices hit record high in 2021.

First Thing Today | July 28, 2021
First Thing Today | July 28, 2021

Excessive heat continues for central U.S.; severe weather possible. Day 1 of spring wheat tour calculates a sub-30 bpa yield. Fed meeting ends today. CDC urges masks indoors for everyone in areas of surging cases.

canola-sunset-canada
ADM says China will need to import an additional 2 MMT of soybeans to counter canola losses

On an earnings call today, Archer Daniels Midland CEO Juan Luciano said the world lost 15 MMT of crop production due to bad weather over the past two to three weeks.

Evening Report | July 27, 2021

ADM says China will need to import an additional 2 MMT of soybeans to counter canola losses. Argentine farmer sales still running ahead of year-ago.

First Thing Today | July 27, 2021
First Thing Today | July 27, 2021

Markets bounce as crop condition ratings slide. Sultry weather grips Northern Plains and western Corn Belt. Latest WHIP+/ag disaster bill authorizes up to $8.5 billion for eligible 2020 and 2021 disasters.

Corn, soybean and spring wheat ratings again disappoint
Corn, soybean and spring wheat ratings again disappoint

Find highlights from USDA's latest Crop Progress and Condition Report.

10:30 a.m. Market Snapshot | July 26, 2021
10:30 a.m. Market Snapshot | July 26, 2021

Your midmorning update on commodity market action.

Wheat inspections remain solid in face of rising prices
Wheat inspections remain solid in face of rising prices

Corn inspections were also decent and above 1 MMT. Soybean inspections were near the upper end of expectations, though the overall tally was still pretty light.

First Thing Today | July 26, 2021

Hot, dry week likely for much of the Midwest & Plains. Low Parana River water levels likely to get worse before they get better. Vilsack predicts moderation in food inflation. Friendly cattle reports may boost futures.

Evening Report | July 23, 2021
Evening Report | July 23, 2021

Barge rates signal big grain shipments. Today's Cattle on Feed and Cattle Inventory reports were supportive.