Record March 1 feedlot inventory expected
USDA’s Cattle on Feed Report Friday afternoon is expected to show March 1 inventories up 1.1% from year-ago levels, which if realized would top last year’s record for the date by 132,000 head. Traders expect February placements to be up 6.1% as dry conditions across the Plains continued to push more animals off pastures and into feedlots, despite high feed prices. But given a smaller calf crop last year, it also implies heifers are being moved into feedlots instead of being held back for breeding. Marketings in February are expected to be up 4.2% from last year, which would also be around 2% higher than February 2020 levels, implying the processing pace has returned to pre-Covid levels.
Avg. Trade Estimate (% of year-ago) |
Range |
Million head |
|
On Feed on March 1 |
101.1 |
100.8-101.5 |
12.132 |
Placements in February |
106.1 |
104-109.8 |
1.794 |
Marketings in February |
104.2 |
103.3-104.6 |
1.812 |