PF CCI: Big Drop in HRW Rating

Posted on 11/27/2017 3:41 PM

When USDA's weekly crop condition ratings are plugged into Pro Farmer's weighted crop condition index (CCI; 0 to 500 point scale, with 500 representing perfect), the HRW wheat crop dropped 8.25 points to 331.63 points. This is 16.25 points the final rating of 2016. Once again, Kansas led the decline.

In contrast, the SRW wheat crop edged 1.41 points higher for the week to 377.78 points. This is up 5.74 points from last year at this time.

 

Pro Farmer Crop Condition Index

HRW

This week

Last week

Year-ago

Kansas *(42.17%)

142.11

145.91

134.02

Oklahoma (12.54%)

40.13

41.63

36.82

Texas (9.92%)

31.36

32.45

32.62

Colorado (10.25%)

38.04

39.78

34.81

Nebraska (6.15%)

21.75

21.51

24.30

S. Dakota (4.78%)

12.24

12.05

21.65

Montana (9.88%)

31.72

31.92

43.82

HRW total

331.63

339.88

347.88

 

SRW

This week

Last week

Year-ago

Missouri *(10.93%)

38.92

38.60

35.08

Illinois (10.47%)

37.79

37.58

36.82

Ohio (10.95%)

45.13

44.91

41.70

Arkansas (2.62%)

9.34

9.50

13.07

Indiana (5.83%)

22.51

22.46

21.30

N. Carolina (6.56%)

25.99

25.92

26.70

Michigan (12.32%)

45.84

45.71

40.34

SRW total

377.78

376.37

372.04

* denotes percentage of total national HRW/SRW crop production.

 

Following are details from USDA's National Ag Statistics Service (NASS) crop and weather reports for key HRW wheat states:

 

Kansas: For the week ending November 26, 2017, warm, dry weather spread across the state, according to USDA's National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS). Temperatures averaged eight to twelve degrees above normal with no measureable precipitation. Field activities included nitrogen and lime application, moving cattle to crop residues, and progression of sunflower and cotton harvests. There were 6.8 days suitable for fieldwork. Topsoil moisture rated 8 percent very short, 31 short, 59 adequate, and 2 surplus. Subsoil moisture rated 6 percent very short, 29 short, 64 adequate, and 1 surplus.

Winter wheat condition rated 4 percent very poor, 10 poor, 35 fair, 47 good, and 4 excellent. Winter wheat emerged was 93 percent, near 96 last year, and behind 98 for the five-year average.

This is the last weekly Crop Progress and Condition report for the 2017 growing season. For December through February, we will issue monthly reports. The first monthly report (for December) will be issued Jan. 2, 2018. Weekly reports will begin March 5 for the 2018 season.

Oklahoma: Oklahoma received almost no measurable precipitation over the past week. According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, 28 percent of the state was in the moderate to exceptional drought categories, up 11 points from the previous week and 9 percent of the state was severe to exceptional drought categories, up 7 points from the previous week. Statewide temperatures averaged in the mid 60s. Topsoil and subsoil moisture conditions were rated mostly adequate to short. There were 6.9 days suitable for fieldwork.

Winter wheat emerged reached 95 percent, unchanged from normal. Oats planted reached 65 percent, up 5 points from normal.

Colorado: Another week of warm and dry weather pushed crop harvest to near completion, according to the Mountain Regional Field Office of NASS, USDA. Reporters in northeastern counties noted harvest was wrapping up and fall fieldwork continued where conditions allowed. Conditions in these areas remained a concern due to lack of moisture. In east central counties, a reporter noted winter wheat was doing well, but dry conditions were a concern going forward. Reporters in southwestern counties noted continued dry weather caused conditions to deteriorate. Winter wheat was stressed in these areas and fruit trees were breaking dormancy due to warm temperatures, lowering cold hardiness. In the San Luis Valley, reporters also noted it was dry with no recent moisture. Fieldwork continued in these areas due to limited frost. In southeastern counties, a reporter noted last week was dry and windy with most crops harvested.

Note: This report concludes the weekly crop progress report for 2017. Next year's Colorado weekly report will begin in March 2018. Monthly reports will be released for December on Tuesday, January 2, 2018; for January on Monday, January 29, 2018; and for February on Monday, February 26, 2018.

 

Following are details from USDA's NASS crop and weather reports for key SRW wheat states:

Michigan: There were 4.2 days suitable for fieldwork in Michigan during the week ending November 26, 2017 according to Marlo Johnson, Director of the Great Lakes Regional Office of NASS. The week was accompanied by variable temperatures, high winds, and generally more favorable fieldwork conditions. However, wet fields forced some producers to wait until the ground freezes to finish harvest activities.

Winter wheat was rated in mostly good condition, but excessive water damaged the crop in some locations.

Missouri: Statewide, the temperature averaged 43.8 degrees, 2.7 degrees above normal. Precipitation averaged 0.01 inches statewide, 0.95 inches below normal. There were 6.6 days suitable for fieldwork for the week ending November 26. Topsoil moisture supply was rated 5 percent very short, 27 percent short, 67 percent adequate, and 1 percent surplus. Subsoil moisture supply was rated 5 percent very short, 27 percent short, 67 percent adequate, and 1 percent surplus.

Winter wheat planted reached 96 percent. Winter wheat emerged reached 83 percent. Winter wheat condition was rated 8 percent poor, 35 percent fair, 50 percent good, and 7 percent excellent.

This is the final weekly Crop Progress and Condition report for 2017. Monthly reports will be released January through March, with weekly reports resuming in April 2018.

Add new comment