Crop Consultant Dr. Michael Cordonnier has begun ranking the top 18 corn and soybean producing states as having potential for below, at or above trendline yield potential. In his initial rankings of the season, he pegs 54.9% of corn acres and 31.7% of soybean acres in the above trendline yield category.
For corn, Cordonnier says Iowa, Kansas, Missouri, Minnesota, Nebraska, North Carolina, North Dakota, Tennessee, Texas and Wisconsin currently have above trendline yield potential, while Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Ohio and South Dakota have trendline yield potential. He puts Kentucky and Pennsylvania in the below trendline category.
For soybeans, Cordonnier says Iowa, Missouri, North Carolina, North Dakota, Tennessee and Wisconsin have above trendline yield potential, while Illinois, Indiana, Kansas, Louisiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Nebraska, Ohio and South Dakota have trendline yield potential. He puts Arkansas and Kentucky in the below trendline category.
Cordonnier left his estimates of the U.S. corn and soybean crops unchanged this week at 14.08 billion bu. and 3.90 billion bu., respectively. "I feel the corn crop continues to get off to a relatively good start. The warmer temperatures forecasted for later this week will be a benefit for the crop in the short-term," he notes.
Cordonnier notes the following areas of concern for the crops:
- Delayed corn and soybean planting in the eastern Corn Belt and southern areas.
- Areas of excessive wetness in isolated locations of the western Corn Belt.
- Areas of excessive wetness in the lower Delta and the Southeast Coast.
- Any crops grown in eastern Texas.
- Potential for hot temperatures and rapid drying out of the soil later this week and into the weekend.